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注意力头消融因果推断的混淆因素与地板效应

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2026-10-02,arXiv Machine Learning Theory 发表的一手研究以 GPT-2 small 为例,审视注意力头消融是否足以支持因果声称。研究发现后投影置零与前投影消融相关性极低(Pearson r=0.057),top-5 头集完全不交;二值准确率在行为地板和天花板处会掩盖效应,而 gold-token log-probability 更稳定。

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Oct 2, 2026
  1. arXiv · Machine Learning Theory
    注意力头消融何时支持因果推断:投影层混淆、地板效应与匹配对照

    论文以 GPT-2 small 为例,发现后投影置零与前投影消融相关性极低(Pearson r=0.057)且 top-5 头集完全不交;二值准确率在行为地板和天花板处会掩盖效应,gold-token log-probability 更稳定。

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